Thursday, December 8, 2022

Will The Outcome Of The American Civil War Be Repeated In The Russia - Ukraine War?

 

Michael Gfoeller and David H. Rundell, Newsweek: Lessons From the U.S. Civil War Show Why Ukraine Can't Win 

During the early years of America's Civil War, President Abraham Lincoln sought a limited conflict against people he still regarded as fellow countrymen and with whom he sought reconciliation. Only after three years of stalemate did he turn to "Unconditional Surrender Grant," who in turn unleashed General William Tecumseh Sherman to "make Georgia howl" and help bring the war to its decisively violent conclusion. 

Russian President Vladimir Putin waited only six months before switching from a special military operation to full scale war against Ukraine. Putin's initial assault was limited to barely 150,000 troops. He expected a quick victory followed by negotiations on his principal concerns: Russian control of Crimea, Ukrainian neutrality, and autonomy for the Russian population in the Donbas, but he was wrong.  

Read more ....  

WNU Editor. I was surprised reading this commentary/analysis in Newsweek. I disagree with some  points, but others I do agree with. It is certainly very different from what has been much of the media narrative since the start of the war. Needless to say it is my must read post for tonight.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Stated it before in this blog...... last week or so ago.

This is a conflict In which the tyranny of logistics and economies of scale, come into play.

Using general inputs for the Russian situation, based on metrics, such as: industrial production , military size and population shows that Russia has the advantage. It was the same situation as the North and South in that respect.

Therefore:

This is not the Ukrainian's war to win.

It is the Russian's war to lose.

It is a forgone conclusion that the Ukrainians will lose.

The only thing that will stop this conclusion would be Russian incompetence.



Anonymous said...

👨‍🔬Oh, there might be _one_ thing. 🦖

Anonymous said...

Godzilla.

Anonymous said...

CONGO: Russian Mercenaries Seek Gold And Diamo

Anonymous said...


After this war Ukrainian will arm themselves and Russia will never be like before.

Anonymous said...

I suspect that Russia may have to just take it over in some form. Did you know that the Kievan Russ were some of the first Russians?

Anonymous said...

Poor Whack Job,

Of course Kievan Russia fell to the Mongol Hordes. Some people moved west and some were up in the north. One northern principality became tax collectors for the enemy for centuries. We call that principality Moscow.

What a proud history. Today, Moscow works for the Han Horde. Nothing has changed.